When will mobile internet take off?

I have been wondering recently about mobile internet and whether it will become the next big thing as it has been touted as for the past 2 years.  The thoughts have stemmed from various industry meetings with mobile suppliers to discuss their views on it, although they may have been slightly biased as they were trying to sell it to me at the time!

I was shown some interesting stats on the highest search volume terms on the web and on mobile, the main difference being the number of adult keywords showing in the list for mobile search.  Porn, sex and free porn all featured in the mobile list but not in the web list.  Also in the mobile list were ebay, msn, messenger, yahoo, facebook, myspace leading me to believe people were actually using the search function to save them typing the web address into the address bar and also making me question whether there is a market for any form of product searches in mobile at all.  The only ones which appeared in the list were those relating directly to mobile phones, ringtones, wallpapers, pictures.

According to articles I posted over 3 months ago 2007 was the year for adoption and 2008 the year for growth.  Its doesn’t appear to be working that way right now with the only real adopters being the adult sector and the mobile sector.  One person I spoke to about it referred to the current situation being like the early days of the internet, slow loading pages, little measurability and low reach.  With the rapid advances in mobile technology surely at least two of these problems will be resolved in the next 6 months but that still leaves advertisers the task of finding a suitable way of utilising mobile internet for their means.  At present they are pretty limited and with many sites not having a WAP portal and more often than not purchases will be impossible.  Will mobile marketing ever truly materialise? Ill reserve judgement on that for the time being as things move fast in this industry and the next big break through could be just around the corner, but for now, I remain skeptical.